Hurricane Danielle

Forecast Advisory 12



000
WTNT21 KNHC 241441
TCMAT1
HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062010
1500 UTC TUE AUG 24 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 46.5W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 15SE 10SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 45SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT.......120NE 90SE 75SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 75SE 45SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 46.5W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 45.8W

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 17.5N 48.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 75SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 19.1N 50.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE 75SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 21.0N 52.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 22.8N 53.8W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...135NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 26.0N 56.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...135NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 28.5N 58.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 32.0N 59.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 46.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG