Hurricane Danielle

Forecast Advisory 15

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 250831
TCMAT1
HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062010
0900 UTC WED AUG 25 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 51.0W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 15SE 10SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT.......120NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 75SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 51.0W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 50.3W

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 20.1N 52.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 105NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 21.8N 54.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 105NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 23.3N 56.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...135NE 120SE 90SW 105NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 24.5N 58.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...135NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 27.0N 61.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...150NE 135SE 105SW 135NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 30.0N 62.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 33.0N 62.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 51.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH