Hurricane Danielle

Forecast Advisory 18



000
WTNT21 KNHC 260239
TCMAT1
HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062010
0300 UTC THU AUG 26 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANIELLE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 54.1W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 75NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 105SE 90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 240SE 210SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 54.1W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 53.6W

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 23.7N 55.6W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 75NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 105SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 25.0N 57.4W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...165NE 120SE 105SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 26.1N 59.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...165NE 120SE 105SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 27.5N 60.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...180NE 135SE 120SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 30.3N 62.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...100NE 85SE 75SW 85NW.
34 KT...180NE 135SE 120SW 135NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 33.5N 62.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 37.0N 61.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.4N 54.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTNT22 KNHC 260241
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
0300 UTC THU AUG 26 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 33.6W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 33.6W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 32.8W

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 15.0N 35.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 15.5N 39.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.0N 42.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 40SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 16.4N 45.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 35SE 25SW 45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 17.4N 51.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 25SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 19.0N 56.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 21.5N 60.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 33.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN