Hurricane Danielle

Forecast Advisory 22

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000
WTNT22 KNHC 270230
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
0300 UTC FRI AUG 27 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 40.2W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE 60SE 0SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 30SE 15SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 40.2W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 39.6W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.0N 42.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 40SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 16.3N 46.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 50SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 16.5N 49.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 50SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 16.7N 52.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 40NW.
34 KT... 85NE 75SE 60SW 85NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 18.5N 58.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 75SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 21.0N 62.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 24.0N 65.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 40.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





000
WTNT21 KNHC 270233
TCMAT1
HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062010
0300 UTC FRI AUG 27 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANIELLE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 57.6W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE 35SE 25SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 60SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT.......180NE 120SE 105SW 135NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 270SE 210SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 57.6W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 57.2W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 26.7N 59.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 35SE 25SW 40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 105SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 28.1N 60.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 35SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 29.6N 60.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 35SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 31.4N 60.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 35.5N 56.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE 150SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 38.5N 50.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 41.0N 42.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.8N 57.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE