Hurricane Danielle

Forecast Advisory 25



000
WTNT22 KNHC 271430
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
1500 UTC FRI AUG 27 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

RESIDENTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF EARL.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 43.6W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE 60SE 0SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 30SE 0SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 43.6W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 42.6W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 15.8N 45.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 40SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 16.3N 49.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 16.8N 53.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 25NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 17.5N 56.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 40NW.
34 KT... 85NE 75SE 60SW 85NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.8N 60.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 75SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 21.5N 64.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 25.0N 67.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 43.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT21 KNHC 271454
TCMAT1
HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062010
1500 UTC FRI AUG 27 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANIELLE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 59.8W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 946 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 45NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT.......180NE 120SE 110SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 270SE 250SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 59.8W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 59.4W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 27.9N 60.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 55NE 45SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...180NE 140SE 120SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 29.5N 61.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 55NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...190NE 160SE 130SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 31.5N 60.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 55NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...190NE 160SE 130SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 34.3N 57.6W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...190NE 160SE 130SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 38.0N 52.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 95SE 75SW 80NW.
34 KT...200NE 210SE 150SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 40.5N 43.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 46.0N 28.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N 59.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART