Hurricane Danielle

Forecast Advisory 27



000
WTNT21 KNHC 280234
TCMAT1
HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062010
0300 UTC SAT AUG 28 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 60.6W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 942 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 35SW 50NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 90SE 75SW 90NW.
34 KT.......180NE 150SE 130SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 240SE 270SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 60.6W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.7N 60.4W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 29.2N 60.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 90NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 130SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 31.5N 59.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 55NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 75SW 90NW.
34 KT...190NE 160SE 130SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 34.2N 57.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 55SE 50SW 45NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 90SW 80NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 36.8N 53.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 90SW 80NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 40.0N 46.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE 90SW 75NW.
34 KT...180NE 210SE 180SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 43.0N 37.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 51.5N 28.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.1N 60.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




000
WTNT22 KNHC 280249
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
0300 UTC SAT AUG 28 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FRENCH SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY

THIS TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN 72 HOURS.

RESIDENTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL. WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS
OF THESE ISLANDS TOMORROW.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 47.9W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE 45SE 45SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 45SE 15SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 47.9W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 47.0W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 16.2N 50.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 45SE 45SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 16.6N 54.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 17.3N 56.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 35SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 18.1N 59.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 35SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 20.5N 63.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 45SE 35SW 45NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 24.5N 66.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 29.0N 68.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 47.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE