Hurricane Danielle

Forecast Advisory 31

---

000
WTNT21 KNHC 290247
TCMAT1
HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062010
0300 UTC SUN AUG 29 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 58.8W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 55NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 70SE 75SW 60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 140SE 140SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 300SE 360SW 430NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 58.8W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 59.2W

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 34.2N 56.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 55NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 75SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 140SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 37.5N 54.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 39.4N 52.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 70NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...120NE 210SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 40.8N 48.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 240SE 150SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 45.0N 34.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 240SE 150SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 52.5N 30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N 58.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE