Hurricane Danielle

Forecast Advisory 33

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000
WTNT22 KNHC 291449
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
1500 UTC SUN AUG 29 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES. A
HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THESE AREAS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE
NEXT 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 58.4W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 110SE 60SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..170NE 80SE 30SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 58.4W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 57.7W

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 17.6N 60.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 60SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.5N 62.7W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE 60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 19.6N 64.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 75SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 21.1N 66.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 25.2N 69.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 31.0N 72.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 37.0N 71.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 58.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/BERG





000
WTNT21 KNHC 291455
TCMAT1
HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062010
1500 UTC SUN AUG 29 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.5N 55.5W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 23 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE 60SE 45SW 45NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT.......180NE 240SE 180SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 360SE 540SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.5N 55.5W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 56.1W

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 38.0N 53.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 60SE 45SW 45NW.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 180SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 39.7N 51.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 60SE 0SW 45NW.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 180SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 40.9N 48.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 90SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 240SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 43.1N 42.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 90SW 60NW.
34 KT...210NE 270SE 270SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 47.0N 34.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...240NE 300SE 300SW 240NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 57.5N 34.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.5N 55.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/BERG