Hurricane Danielle

Forecast Advisory 34



000
WTNT22 KNHC 292045
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
2100 UTC SUN AUG 29 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING
FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE NEARING COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS
CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 59.5W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 25SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 75NE 70SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 120SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 59.5W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 58.9W

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 18.0N 61.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 75NE 70SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 18.9N 63.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 75NE 70SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 20.3N 65.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 22.1N 66.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 75SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 27.3N 70.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 120SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 33.5N 71.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 40.0N 68.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 59.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/BERG




000
WTNT21 KNHC 292046
TCMAT1
HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062010
2100 UTC SUN AUG 29 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.0N 54.5W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 25 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 75SE 60SW 0NW.
50 KT.......120NE 150SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT.......210NE 270SE 180SW 210NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 540SE 300SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.0N 54.5W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.3N 55.0W

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 40.1N 52.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 75SE 60SW 0NW.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...210NE 270SE 180SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 41.3N 50.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 150SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...180NE 270SE 180SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 42.3N 45.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 150SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...180NE 270SE 180SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 44.0N 39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 120SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 240SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 51.0N 30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 0NW.
34 KT...240NE 180SE 240SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 57.6N 32.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.0N 54.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/BERG