Hurricane Danielle

Forecast Advisory 35



000
WTNT22 KNHC 300231
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
0300 UTC MON AUG 30 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE NEARING COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS
CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 61.1W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 75NE 70SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 150SE 90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 61.1W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 60.4W

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.5N 62.7W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 19.6N 64.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 21.1N 66.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.8N 68.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 27.5N 71.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 130SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 34.0N 72.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 40.0N 67.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 61.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/KIMBERLAIN




000
WTNT21 KNHC 300241
TCMAT1
HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062010
0300 UTC MON AUG 30 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.3N 53.0W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 75SE 60SW 0NW.
50 KT.......120NE 150SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT.......210NE 270SE 180SW 210NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 600SE 600SW 400NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.3N 53.0W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.8N 53.7W

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 40.8N 51.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...210NE 270SE 180SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 42.0N 47.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 150SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...180NE 270SE 180SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 43.5N 42.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 150SE 90SW 50NW.
34 KT...180NE 270SE 180SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 45.1N 34.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW 0NW.
34 KT...220NE 240SE 240SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 51.5N 27.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 0NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 240SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 60.0N 30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.3N 53.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART