Hurricane Earl

Forecast Advisory 2



000
WTNT22 KNHC 252029
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
2100 UTC WED AUG 25 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 32.2W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 32.2W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 31.5W

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 14.6N 34.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 15.0N 38.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 15.5N 41.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 0SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.0N 44.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 25SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 17.0N 50.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 25SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 50SE 25SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 18.0N 55.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 20.0N 60.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 32.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT21 KNHC 252030
TCMAT1
HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062010
2100 UTC WED AUG 25 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 53.1W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 15SE 10SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT.......120NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 53.1W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 52.7W

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 22.3N 54.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 105NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 23.5N 56.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...135NE 120SE 90SW 105NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 24.8N 58.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...135NE 120SE 90SW 105NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 26.1N 60.2W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...135NE 120SE 90SW 105NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 29.0N 62.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 95NE 85SE 65SW 85NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 32.0N 62.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 35.0N 62.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N 53.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN