Hurricane Earl

Forecast Advisory 4

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000
WTNT22 KNHC 260834
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
0900 UTC THU AUG 26 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 34.8W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 34.8W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 34.1W

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 15.7N 37.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.4N 40.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
34 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.6N 43.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 40SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 16.7N 47.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 35SE 25SW 45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 17.9N 52.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 25SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 60SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 20.0N 57.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 22.5N 60.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 34.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BRENNAN





000
WTNT21 KNHC 260838
TCMAT1
HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062010
0900 UTC THU AUG 26 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANIELLE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 54.9W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 968 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 75NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 105SE 90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 240SE 210SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 54.9W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 54.4W

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 24.5N 56.3W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 115SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 25.8N 58.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 35SW 40NW.
50 KT... 85NE 65SE 55SW 75NW.
34 KT...165NE 120SE 110SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 27.0N 59.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT... 85NE 65SE 55SW 70NW.
34 KT...165NE 120SE 110SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 28.3N 61.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...180NE 135SE 120SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 31.5N 61.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...100NE 85SE 75SW 85NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 135NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 35.5N 60.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 38.0N 59.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.4N 54.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN