Hurricane Earl

Forecast Advisory 5



000
WTNT22 KNHC 261433
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
1500 UTC THU AUG 26 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 37.1W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 30SE 50SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 0SE 50SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 37.1W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 36.3W

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 15.4N 39.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 15.7N 42.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 16.1N 46.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 45SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 16.5N 49.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 40NW.
34 KT... 85NE 75SE 60SW 85NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 17.8N 54.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 75SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 20.0N 58.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 22.5N 61.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 37.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTNT21 KNHC 261437
TCMAT1
HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062010
1500 UTC THU AUG 26 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANIELLE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 55.9W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 75NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 105SE 90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 240SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 55.9W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 55.4W

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 25.3N 57.3W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 115SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 26.5N 59.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 35SW 40NW.
50 KT... 85NE 65SE 55SW 75NW.
34 KT...165NE 120SE 110SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 27.8N 60.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT... 85NE 65SE 55SW 70NW.
34 KT...165NE 120SE 110SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 29.3N 61.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...180NE 135SE 120SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 33.0N 60.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 85SW 75NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 135NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 36.5N 58.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 39.0N 55.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.4N 55.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN