Hurricane Earl

Forecast Advisory 6



000
WTNT21 KNHC 262035
TCMAT1
HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062010
2100 UTC THU AUG 26 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANIELLE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 57.0W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 968 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 75NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 105SE 90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 240SE 250SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 57.0W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 56.4W

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 26.0N 58.3W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 115SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 27.3N 60.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 35SW 40NW.
50 KT... 85NE 65SE 55SW 75NW.
34 KT...165NE 120SE 110SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 28.6N 61.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...175NE 135SE 120SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 30.2N 61.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 135SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 34.0N 59.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 85SW 75NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 135NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 37.5N 56.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 39.5N 51.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.2N 57.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




000
WTNT22 KNHC 262048
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
2100 UTC THU AUG 26 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 38.8W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE 60SE 50SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 30SE 50SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 38.8W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 38.0W

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 15.6N 41.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 40SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 15.9N 44.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 50SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 16.3N 47.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 50SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 16.7N 50.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 40NW.
34 KT... 85NE 75SE 60SW 85NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 18.2N 55.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 75SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 20.6N 60.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 23.0N 62.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 38.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART