Hurricane Earl

Forecast Advisory 8



000
WTNT21 KNHC 270833
TCMAT1
HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062010
0900 UTC FRI AUG 27 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANIELLE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 58.7W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 946 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 45NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT.......180NE 120SE 105SW 135NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 270SE 250SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 58.7W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 58.3W

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 27.5N 60.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 55NE 45SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT... 95NE 70SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE 120SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 28.9N 60.9W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 55NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 75SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 130SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 30.6N 60.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 55NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 85SE 70SW 85NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 130SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 32.9N 59.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 95NE 95SE 75SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 130SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 37.5N 54.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 95SE 75SW 80NW.
34 KT...200NE 210SE 150SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 40.0N 47.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 41.5N 31.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.5N 58.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000
WTNT22 KNHC 270835
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
0900 UTC FRI AUG 27 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 41.6W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE 60SE 0SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 30SE 15SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 41.6W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 40.9W

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.2N 44.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 40SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 16.4N 47.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 16.6N 50.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 25NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 17.2N 53.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 40NW.
34 KT... 85NE 75SE 60SW 85NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 19.0N 59.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 75SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 21.5N 62.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 24.5N 65.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 41.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI