Hurricane Earl
Forecast Advisory 13
000
WTNT22 KNHC 281435
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
1500 UTC SAT AUG 28 2010
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 51.8W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 45SE 10SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 45SE 20SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 51.8W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 51.0W
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 16.1N 54.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 45SE 10SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 17.0N 57.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 20SW 25NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 17.8N 60.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 50SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.7N 62.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 35SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 50SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 21.5N 66.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 25.0N 69.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 30.0N 71.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 51.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
000
WTNT21 KNHC 281454
TCMAT1
HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062010
1500 UTC SAT AUG 28 2010
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 60.5W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 35SW 50NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 80SE 75SW 80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 270SE 240SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 60.5W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 60.8W
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 31.2N 59.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 75SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 34.6N 57.2W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 55NE 55SE 50SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...190NE 170SE 150SW 170NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 37.7N 54.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 55NE 55SE 50SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...190NE 170SE 150SW 170NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 39.5N 53.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE 90SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 210SE 180SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 42.5N 42.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 210SE 170SW 180NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 51.0N 30.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 55.0N 35.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.3N 60.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA
