Hurricane Earl
Forecast Advisory 16
000
WTNT21 KNHC 290837
TCMAT1
HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062010
0900 UTC SUN AUG 29 2010
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.2N 57.3W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 18 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 55NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 70SE 90SW 80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE 160SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 390SE 430SW 490NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.2N 57.3W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.3N 57.9W
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 35.9N 55.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 55NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 140SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 38.3N 53.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 39.8N 50.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 45SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 70NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...120NE 200SE 150SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 41.1N 46.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 240SE 150SW 180NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 46.0N 34.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 240SE 150SW 180NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 54.5N 31.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z...ABSORBED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.2N 57.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
000
WTNT22 KNHC 290838
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
0900 UTC SUN AUG 29 2010
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WARNING FOR THE ISLANDS OF ST. MAARTEN...SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BEGINNING
WITHIN 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD
BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE
NEXT 36 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 56.9W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 35NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT.......140NE 80SE 15SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..170NE 80SE 30SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 56.9W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 56.2W
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 17.3N 59.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 25SE 15SW 35NW.
34 KT...140NE 90SE 30SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 17.9N 61.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 0SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 90SE 50SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 18.7N 63.6W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 35NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE 60SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 19.9N 65.4W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE 75SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 23.5N 69.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 90SW 130NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 29.0N 72.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 34.5N 72.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 56.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
