Hurricane Earl

Forecast Advisory 20



000
WTNT22 KNHC 300832
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
0900 UTC MON AUG 30 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS
CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 62.4W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 969 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE 35SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 140SE 90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 62.4W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 61.8W

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 19.1N 64.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 20.3N 66.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 21.9N 67.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 55NE 45SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 85NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 24.0N 69.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 29.5N 73.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...190NE 170SE 130SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 35.5N 72.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 42.0N 65.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 62.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000
WTNT21 KNHC 300841
TCMAT1
HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062010
0900 UTC MON AUG 30 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.4N 52.0W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 75SE 60SW 0NW.
50 KT.......120NE 150SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT.......240NE 270SE 180SW 240NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 600SE 600SW 400NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.4N 52.0W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.0N 52.5W

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 41.6N 49.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...240NE 270SE 180SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 42.7N 44.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 150SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...220NE 270SE 180SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 44.0N 38.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 150SE 90SW 50NW.
34 KT...220NE 270SE 180SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 46.0N 32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW 0NW.
34 KT...220NE 240SE 240SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 53.0N 26.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 0NW.
34 KT...220NE 240SE 240SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 63.0N 32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.4N 52.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART