Hurricane Earl

Forecast Advisory 23



000
WTNT21 KNHC 310235
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062010
0300 UTC TUE AUG 31 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.3N 47.1W AT 31/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 80 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT.......180NE 240SE 240SW 210NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 550SE 450SW 340NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.3N 47.1W AT 31/0300Z
AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 41.2N 48.0W

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 42.3N 41.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 180SE 150SW 90NW.
34 KT...150NE 270SE 240SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 44.3N 34.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 180SE 150SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 270SE 240SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 47.0N 26.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 50.7N 22.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 90SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.3N 47.1W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON
THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO
HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN




000
WTNT22 KNHC 310248
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
0300 UTC TUE AUG 31 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS

INTERESTS FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF EARL.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE SAN JUAN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 65.8W AT 31/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 938 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 50SE 25SW 40NW.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT.......175NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 300SE 200SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 65.8W AT 31/0300Z
AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 65.2W

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 20.9N 67.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 25SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT...175NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.6N 69.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 25SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 125SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 24.6N 71.4W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 25SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 125SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 26.9N 73.4W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 32.5N 75.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 170NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 38.5N 70.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 46.0N 62.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 65.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTNT23 KNHC 310251
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM FIONA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082010
0300 UTC TUE AUG 31 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENTS OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAVE ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND
ANGUILLA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF FIONA. ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE
REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THIS AREA TOMORROW MORNING.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 50.8W AT 31/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 20 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 50.8W AT 31/0300Z
AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 49.8W

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 15.7N 54.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 16.9N 57.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.4N 60.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 45SE 0SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 20.5N 63.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 25.0N 67.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 45SE 30SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 28.0N 69.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 29.0N 69.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 50.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE