Hurricane Earl

Forecast Advisory 29



000
WTNT23 KNHC 011440
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM FIONA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082010
1500 UTC WED SEP 01 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ST. MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF FIONA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 61.7W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 45NE 45SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 0SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 45SE 0SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 61.7W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 60.9W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 20.3N 63.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 0SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 22.6N 65.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 50SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 24.9N 66.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 50SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 26.9N 67.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 29.0N 67.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 31.0N 67.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 61.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTNT24 KNHC 011452
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092010
1500 UTC WED SEP 01 2010


TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 35.8W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 35.8W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 35.2W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 12.6N 37.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 13.0N 39.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 13.5N 41.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 14.0N 42.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 15.0N 45.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 45NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 16.0N 49.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 17.0N 53.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 35.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/BLAKE




000
WTNT22 KNHC 011454
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
1500 UTC WED SEP 01 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED
STATES FROM BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS.

THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ADJUSTED AND NOW EXTENDS FROM THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER NORTHWARD TO CAPE HENLOPEN DELAWARE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM CAPE FEAR TO WEST OF
BOGUE INLET.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE HENLOPEN
DELAWARE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAN SALVADOR ISLAND IN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* FROM CAPE FEAR TO WEST OF BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE FROM NEW JERSEY TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF EARL.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 72.1W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 943 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE 80SE 30SW 60NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE 75SW 90NW.
34 KT.......175NE 175SE 120SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 270SE 210SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 72.1W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 71.6W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 27.0N 73.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 60NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 90NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 120SW 175NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 29.8N 75.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 60NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 90NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 125SW 175NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 32.8N 75.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 60NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 90NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 125SW 175NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 36.0N 73.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 90NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 175NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 44.0N 66.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT...100NE 140SE 100SW 90NW.
34 KT...175NE 200SE 175SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 55.0N 60.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.1N 72.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA