Hurricane Earl
Forecast Advisory 32
000
WTNT24 KNHC 020833
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM GASTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092010
0900 UTC THU SEP 02 2010
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 38.2W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 38.2W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 38.0W
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 13.6N 39.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 20SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 13.8N 40.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 45SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 14.0N 41.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 14.2N 42.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 15SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 45SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 14.6N 45.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 15.0N 50.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 16.0N 55.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 38.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/KIMBERLAIN
000
WTNT23 KNHC 020834
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM FIONA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082010
0900 UTC THU SEP 02 2010
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
FOR BERMUDA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 65.4W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 15 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 65.4W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 64.9W
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 24.6N 66.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 27.1N 67.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 29.7N 67.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 32.4N 65.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 36.5N 62.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 0NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.6N 65.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
000
WTNT22 KNHC 020846
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
0900 UTC THU SEP 02 2010
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH
MASSACHUSETTS TO PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS...AND WEST OF WOODS HOLE
MASSACHUSETTS TO WESTPORT MASSACHUSETTS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF LONG
ISLAND NEW YORK FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET NORTHWARD AND EASTWARD TO
PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED NORTH OF PLYMOUTH
MASSACHUSETTS TO EASTPORT MAINE.
ENVIRONMENT CANADA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE COAST
OF NOVA SCOTIA FROM PORT MAITLAND TO MEDWAY HARBOUR.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS.
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE HENLOPEN
DELAWARE.
* WESTPORT TO PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHAS
VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE FEAR TO WEST OF BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA.
* NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO SANDY HOOK NEW
JERSEY...INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY SOUTH OF SLAUGHTER BEACH AND THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT.
* THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND NEW YORK FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET NORTHWARD
AND EASTWARD TO PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY TO WOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING
BLOCK ISLAND AND LONG ISLAND SOUND.
* THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND NEW YORK WEST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET AND
PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR.
* NORTH OF PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS TO EASTPORT MAINE.
* THE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA FROM PORT MAITLAND TO MEDWAY HARBOUR.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN CANADA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 74.7W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 16 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 928 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE 70SE 40SW 60NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE 90SW 100NW.
34 KT.......200NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 300SE 300SW 320NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 74.7W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 74.4W
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 31.7N 75.3W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 60NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 34.8N 74.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 60NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 38.1N 72.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 75NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 41.6N 69.2W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 60NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 50.5N 62.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 60NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 180SW 120NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.3N 74.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
