Hurricane Earl

Forecast Advisory 40



000
WTNT22 KNHC 040831
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
0900 UTC SAT SEP 04 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR MASSACHUSETTS
AND ADJACENT ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NOVA SCOTIA FROM ECUM SECUM WESTWARD TO DIGBY

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* STONINGTON MAINE TO EASTPORT MAINE
* THE ENTIRE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
* NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U.S./CANADA BORDER EASTWARD TO FORT
LAWRENCE...AND FROM SHEDIAC TO TIDNISH
* THE MAGDALEN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* POINT ESCUMINAC TO SHEDIAC NEW BRUNSWICK

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.7N 67.1W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 26 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT.......100NE 120SE 100SW 80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 470SE 470SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.7N 67.1W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.8N 68.3W

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 45.4N 63.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...100NE 110SE 80SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 50.1N 58.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...210NE 270SE 270SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 54.0N 55.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...210NE 150SE 150SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 56.0N 53.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...240NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 56.5N 55.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 0SE 180SW 270NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.7N 67.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART