Tropical Storm Fiona
Forecast Advisory 4
000
WTNT23 KNHC 311436
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM FIONA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082010
1500 UTC TUE AUG 31 2010
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ST. MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF FIONA. ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE
REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THIS AREA LATER TODAY.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 55.3W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 21 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 0SE 0SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 55.3W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 54.4W
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 16.9N 58.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.7N 61.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 21.1N 63.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 23.4N 65.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 27.7N 67.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 31.0N 67.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 34.0N 66.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 55.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
000
WTNT22 KNHC 311452
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
1500 UTC TUE AUG 31 2010
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
INTERESTS FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF EARL. A HURRICANE WATCH COULD BE REQUIRED FOR
PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATER TODAY.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 67.9W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 939 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 50SE 25SW 45NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT.......175NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..440NE 180SE 180SW 390NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 67.9W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 67.4W
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.3N 69.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 25SW 45NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...175NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 24.8N 71.7W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 25SW 45NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 125SW 170NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 27.3N 73.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 25SW 45NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 125SW 170NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 30.5N 75.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 170NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 36.5N 73.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 170NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 43.5N 66.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 52.5N 57.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N 67.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
