Tropical Storm Fiona

Forecast Advisory 6



000
WTNT23 KNHC 010233
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM FIONA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082010
0300 UTC WED SEP 01 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ST. MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12
TO 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF FIONA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 59.4W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 0SE 0SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 0SE 0SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 59.4W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 58.6W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.7N 62.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 21.2N 64.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 24.4N 66.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 27.8N 67.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 35.0N 66.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 59.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH




000
WTNT22 KNHC 010239
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
0300 UTC WED SEP 01 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA
BORDER...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* CAPE FEAR TO SURF CITY

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

INTERESTS FROM VIRGINIA NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF EARL.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 69.9W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 940 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE 80SE 30SW 60NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT.......175NE 175SE 90SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..470NE 240SE 180SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 69.9W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 69.2W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 24.5N 71.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 60NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 90SW 175NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 27.0N 73.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 60NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 125SW 175NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 29.8N 75.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 60NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 125SW 175NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 32.7N 75.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 175NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 39.0N 70.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 175NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 47.0N 62.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 56.0N 58.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.0N 69.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/KIMBERLAIN