Tropical Storm Fiona

Forecast Advisory 14



000
WTNT22 KNHC 030232
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
0300 UTC FRI SEP 03 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MASSACHUSETTS
FROM NORTH OF HULL TO THE MERRIMACK RIVER...AND FOR THE COAST OF
MAINE FROM STONINGTON TO EASTPORT.

ENVIRONMENT CANADA HAS EXPANDED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO INCLUDE
PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND...THE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA FROM ECUM SECUM
NORTHWARD TO POINT TUPPER...AND FROM AULDS COVE IN NOVA SCOTIA
WESTWARD TO SHEDIAC IN NEW BRUNSWICK.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM CAPE FEAR TO WEST OF SURF CITY NORTH
CAROLINA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS
* WESTPORT MASSACHUSETTS EASTWARD AROUND CAPE COD TO HULL
MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET ISLAND

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE HENLOPEN
DELAWARE
* NOVA SCOTIA FROM MEDWAY HARBOUR TO DIGBY

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA TO WEST OF BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA
* NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO SANDY HOOK NEW
JERSEY...INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY SOUTH OF SLAUGHTER BEACH AND THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT
* THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND NEW YORK FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET EASTWARD
ON THE SOUTH SHORE AND PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR EASTWARD ON THE NORTH
SHORE
* NEW HAVEN CONNECTICUT TO WEST OF WESTPORT MASSACHUSETTS...
INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND
* NORTH OF HULL MASSACHUSETTS TO THE MERRIMACK RIVER
* STONINGTON MAINE EASTWARD TO EASTPORT MAINE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF THE MERRIMACK RIVER TO WEST OF STONINGTON MAINE
* THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND WEST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET ON THE SOUTH
SHORE AND WEST OF PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR ON THE NORTH SHORE
* NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U.S./CANADA BORDER EASTWARD TO FORT
LAWRENCE AND FROM TIDNISH WESTWARD TO SHEDIAC
* NOVA SCOTIA FROM FORT LAWRENCE SOUTHWESTWARD TO DIGBY...MEDWAY
HARBOUR NORTHEASTWARD TO POINT TUPPER...AND AULDS COVE WESTWARD TO
TIDNISH
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N 74.4W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 951 MB
EYE DIAMETER 50 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 45NW.
50 KT.......100NE 90SE 115SW 100NW.
34 KT.......180NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 420SE 300SW 220NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N 74.4W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 74.7W

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 36.2N 73.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 110SW 100NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE 130SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 39.5N 70.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 100SW 90NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 140SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 43.9N 66.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 90SW 70NW.
34 KT...190NE 180SE 140SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 48.4N 61.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 30NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z...ABSORBED BY LARGE EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.8N 74.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/BERG




000
WTNT23 KNHC 030235
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM FIONA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082010
0300 UTC FRI SEP 03 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 66.8W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 66.8W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 66.8W

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 28.7N 66.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 30.8N 65.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 32.7N 64.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 34.8N 63.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 39.5N 60.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N 66.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN