Tropical Storm Hermine

Forecast Advisory 5



000
WTNT25 KNHC 070231
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102010
0300 UTC TUE SEP 07 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR
THE COAST OF MEXICO AND THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF BAHIA
ALGODONES MEXICO.

THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAHIA ALGODONES MEXICO NORTHWARD TO PORT OCONNOR TEXAS

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 97.5W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 60SE 20SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 97.5W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.9N 97.2W

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 27.1N 98.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 29.5N 99.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 32.1N 100.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 34.7N 99.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 39.5N 95.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.5N 97.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BRENNAN