Hurricane Igor

Forecast Advisory 7

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 100232
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
0300 UTC FRI SEP 10 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 28.0W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 28.0W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 27.3W

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 15.9N 30.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 16.3N 33.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 16.5N 36.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 35SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 16.7N 39.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 17.5N 44.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 35SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 85NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 18.5N 48.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 19.5N 50.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 28.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/MUSHER