Hurricane Igor

Forecast Advisory 8



000
WTNT21 KNHC 100832
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
0900 UTC FRI SEP 10 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 29.3W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 29.3W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 28.7W

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 16.0N 31.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 16.3N 34.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 16.5N 37.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 16.8N 40.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 17.0N 45.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 18.0N 49.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 19.5N 53.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 29.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA