Hurricane Igor

Forecast Advisory 14

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 112037
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM IGOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
2100 UTC SAT SEP 11 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 41.2W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 45NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 41.2W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 40.4W

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 17.5N 43.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
50 KT... 45NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 17.6N 46.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT...120NE 75SE 60SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 17.7N 48.8W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 55NW.
34 KT...130NE 90SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 17.9N 51.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 18.8N 54.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 85NW.
34 KT...180NE 135SE 120SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 20.3N 57.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 22.0N 60.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 41.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z

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FORECASTER BLAKE