Hurricane Igor

Forecast Advisory 15

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 120230
TCMAT1
HURRICANE IGOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
0300 UTC SUN SEP 12 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 42.5W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 45NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 60SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 42.5W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 41.9W

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 17.8N 44.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 0SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
34 KT...110NE 70SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 17.9N 47.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT...125NE 80SE 65SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 18.1N 49.7W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 60NE 55SE 40SW 55NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE 90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 18.4N 51.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 19.5N 55.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 85NW.
34 KT...180NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 21.5N 58.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 23.5N 61.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 42.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z

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FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN