Hurricane Igor

Forecast Advisory 16

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 120837
TCMAT1
HURRICANE IGOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
0900 UTC SUN SEP 12 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 44.4W AT 12/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 60SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 44.4W AT 12/0900Z
AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 43.8W

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 17.9N 46.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 0SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
34 KT...110NE 70SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 18.1N 49.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 18.3N 51.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 55SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 18.7N 53.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 120SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 20.2N 56.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 85NW.
34 KT...170NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 22.5N 59.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 24.5N 62.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 44.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z

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FORECASTER CANGIALOSI