Hurricane Igor
Forecast Advisory 17
000
WTNT22 KNHC 121452
TCMAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010
1500 UTC SUN SEP 12 2010
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...INCLUDING MAIO..SAO
TIAGO...FOGO...AND BRAVA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...INCLUDING MAIO..SAO TIAGO...
FOGO...AND BRAVA
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 21.4W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 21.4W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 20.8W
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 12.8N 23.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 13.5N 25.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 14.5N 27.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 15.7N 29.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...105NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 19.0N 32.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 35SW 40NW.
34 KT...105NE 90SE 75SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 23.0N 37.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 26.5N 43.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 21.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
000
WTNT21 KNHC 121454
TCMAT1
HURRICANE IGOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
1500 UTC SUN SEP 12 2010
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 45.7W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 80SE 80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 45.7W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 44.9W
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 17.8N 47.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 55SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 90SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 18.0N 49.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 35SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 120SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 18.4N 51.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 35SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 120SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 19.0N 53.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 20.7N 56.7W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 22.6N 59.6W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 24.5N 62.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 45.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BRENNAN
