Hurricane Igor

Forecast Advisory 22

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 131440
TCMAT1
HURRICANE IGOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
1500 UTC MON SEP 13 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 49.7W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 933 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 35SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT.......150NE 140SE 100SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 49.7W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 49.2W

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 17.9N 50.8W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 35SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 65SE 55SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 18.7N 52.3W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 40SE 40SW 45NW.
50 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 19.5N 53.7W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 45SE 40SW 45NW.
50 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 20.6N 55.2W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 75SE 65SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 23.0N 58.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 75SW 90NW.
34 KT...210NE 180SE 130SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 25.5N 60.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 29.0N 63.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 49.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN





000
WTNT22 KNHC 131442
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010
1500 UTC MON SEP 13 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...INCLUDING MAIO...SAO TIAGO...
FOGO...AND BRAVA

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 26.1W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 45NE 45SE 45SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 45SE 45SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 26.1W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 25.6W

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 15.6N 27.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 45SE 45SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.7N 29.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 18.1N 31.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 19.6N 33.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 75SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 22.8N 37.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 25.5N 43.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 28.5N 47.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 26.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BRENNAN