Hurricane Igor

Forecast Advisory 24

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 140245
TCMAT1
HURRICANE IGOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
0300 UTC TUE SEP 14 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 51.2W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 937 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE 35SE 30SW 45NW.
50 KT....... 85NE 65SE 55SW 85NW.
34 KT.......170NE 140SE 110SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 180SE 180SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 51.2W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 50.9W

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 18.0N 52.3W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 40SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 85NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 18.8N 53.7W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 45NW.
50 KT... 90NE 75SE 65SW 90NW.
34 KT...195NE 160SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 19.9N 55.2W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 45NW.
50 KT... 90NE 75SE 65SW 90NW.
34 KT...195NE 160SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 21.1N 56.6W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
50 KT... 95NE 80SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...195NE 175SE 135SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 24.0N 59.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...110NE 85SE 75SW 95NW.
34 KT...225NE 180SE 135SW 175NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 27.0N 62.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 30.5N 64.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 51.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





000
WTNT22 KNHC 140251
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010
0300 UTC TUE SEP 14 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 28.0W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE 45SE 45SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 45SE 45SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 28.0W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 27.5W

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.3N 29.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.5N 31.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 19.1N 32.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 75SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 21.1N 35.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 24.3N 40.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 27.5N 46.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 31.5N 50.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 28.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN