Hurricane Igor
Forecast Advisory 32
000
WTNT23 KNHC 160238
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132010
0300 UTC THU SEP 16 2010
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE COAST
OF MEXICO FROM LA CRUZ SOUTHWARD TO BARRA DE NAUTLA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM LA CRUZ SOUTHWARD TO BARRA DE NAUTLA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CIUDAD DEL CARMEN
NORTHWARD TO CELESTUN
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 6 TO 12 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 90.7W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 50SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 90.7W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 90.1W
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.9N 92.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 20.7N 93.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 21.0N 95.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 21.5N 97.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 21.5N 99.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 21.0N 102.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 90.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
000
WTNT21 KNHC 160241
TCMAT1
HURRICANE IGOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
0300 UTC THU SEP 16 2010
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IGOR.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 56.5W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 942 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT.......210NE 175SE 140SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..510NE 360SE 330SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 56.5W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 56.1W
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 20.8N 57.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 40SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...210NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 21.7N 59.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT...225NE 180SE 150SW 195NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 22.6N 60.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT...225NE 180SE 150SW 195NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 24.0N 62.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...225NE 180SE 150SW 195NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 27.5N 65.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 100NW.
34 KT...235NE 210SE 165SW 210NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 31.5N 65.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 36.5N 60.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 56.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
000
WTNT22 KNHC 160246
TCMAT2
HURRICANE JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010
0300 UTC THU SEP 16 2010
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 34.6W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 14 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 962 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 25SW 40NW.
34 KT.......110NE 90SE 70SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 210SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 34.6W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 33.8W
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 21.7N 36.9W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 75SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 23.6N 40.4W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE 75SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 25.3N 43.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE 75SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 27.0N 46.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 31.5N 49.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...135NE 120SE 90SW 105NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 35.0N 48.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 36.5N 43.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 34.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
