Hurricane Igor

Forecast Advisory 43

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000
WTNT22 KNHC 182030
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010
2100 UTC SAT SEP 18 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 51.8W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 300SE 300SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 51.8W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 51.4W

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 32.6N 52.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...125NE 90SE 40SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 34.8N 51.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 36.4N 49.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 38.0N 47.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 42.0N 43.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.6N 51.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN





000
WTNT21 KNHC 182036
TCMAT1
HURRICANE IGOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 43
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
2100 UTC SAT SEP 18 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 64.3W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 945 MB
EYE DIAMETER 85 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
50 KT.......140NE 110SE 110SW 130NW.
34 KT.......300NE 225SE 200SW 240NW.
12 FT SEAS..600NE 540SE 480SW 600NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 64.3W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 64.0W

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 28.4N 65.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
50 KT...140NE 110SE 110SW 130NW.
34 KT...300NE 225SE 200SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 30.5N 65.4W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
50 KT...140NE 110SE 110SW 130NW.
34 KT...300NE 225SE 200SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 33.1N 64.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
50 KT...140NE 130SE 120SW 130NW.
34 KT...300NE 230SE 210SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 36.1N 62.6W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...140NE 160SE 140SW 130NW.
34 KT...300NE 250SE 210SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 42.5N 52.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT...140NE 160SE 140SW 130NW.
34 KT...300NE 330SE 300SW 250NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 48.0N 42.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 50.0N 35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.1N 64.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN