Hurricane Igor

Forecast Advisory 47



000
WTNT22 KNHC 192033
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010
2100 UTC SUN SEP 19 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.8N 49.7W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 75SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 270SE 300SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.8N 49.7W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.6N 50.1W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 35.4N 48.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...105NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 36.3N 46.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 37.7N 44.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.8N 49.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




000
WTNT21 KNHC 192045
TCMAT1
HURRICANE IGOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 47
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
2100 UTC SUN SEP 19 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 65.9W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 951 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
50 KT.......150NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
34 KT.......300NE 275SE 200SW 300NW.
12 FT SEAS..600NE 570SE 540SW 570NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 65.9W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 65.9W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 33.6N 65.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
34 KT...300NE 275SE 200SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 36.9N 62.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 75SE 70SW 80NW.
50 KT...175NE 150SE 150SW 175NW.
34 KT...330NE 300SE 225SW 330NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 40.6N 58.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 80NW.
50 KT...180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
34 KT...350NE 325SE 275SW 350NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 45.0N 52.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...210NE 240SE 240SW 180NW.
34 KT...400NE 325SE 375SW 325NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 51.0N 41.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 180SW 180NW.
34 KT...310NE 240SE 350SW 350NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 55.0N 37.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 60.0N 37.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N 65.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN