Hurricane Igor

Forecast Advisory 51

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 202037
TCMAT1
HURRICANE IGOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 51
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
2100 UTC MON SEP 20 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND FROM STONES COVE NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD
TO CHARLOTTETOWN

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.2N 61.5W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 24 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 968 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 75NE 50SE 60SW 75NW.
50 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW 140NW.
34 KT.......330NE 300SE 300SW 300NW.
12 FT SEAS..600NE 600SE 850SW 530NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.2N 61.5W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.2N 62.6W

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 41.0N 57.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 90SE 120SW 120NW.
50 KT...175NE 200SE 150SW 175NW.
34 KT...400NE 350SE 350SW 350NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 45.3N 52.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 180SE 180SW 150NW.
50 KT...200NE 250SE 250SW 230NW.
34 KT...600NE 450SE 450SW 400NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 50.1N 47.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 180SE 180SW 150NW.
50 KT...270NE 270SE 270SW 220NW.
34 KT...750NE 480SE 480SW 480NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 54.6N 45.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...180NE 240SE 240SW 150NW.
34 KT...480NE 480SE 450SW 420NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 60.0N 46.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 150SE 150SW 0NW.
34 KT...360NE 270SE 300SW 360NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 66.0N 56.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.2N 61.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG