Hurricane Igor

Forecast Advisory 52



000
WTNT21 KNHC 210231
TCMAT1
HURRICANE IGOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 52
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
0300 UTC TUE SEP 21 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND FROM STONES COVE NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD
TO CHARLOTTETOWN
* THE ISLANDS OF ST-PIERRE AND MIQUELON

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.9N 59.3W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 25 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 968 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 75NE 50SE 60SW 75NW.
50 KT.......150NE 150SE 120SW 140NW.
34 KT.......330NE 300SE 300SW 300NW.
12 FT SEAS..600NE 600SE 850SW 530NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.9N 59.3W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.0N 60.4W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 43.2N 55.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
50 KT...175NE 200SE 200SW 175NW.
34 KT...450NE 375SE 375SW 350NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 48.9N 49.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 180SE 180SW 150NW.
50 KT...200NE 250SE 250SW 230NW.
34 KT...600NE 450SE 450SW 400NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 54.8N 47.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT...120NE 60SE 180SW 120NW.
50 KT...360NE 270SE 300SW 300NW.
34 KT...540NE 600SE 540SW 570NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 59.0N 52.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...300NE 180SE 240SW 180NW.
34 KT...420NE 450SE 420SW 480NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 63.5N 59.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...180NE 0SE 150SW 0NW.
34 KT...250NE 210SE 300SW 240NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 68.5N 62.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.9N 59.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTNT24 KNHC 210231
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142010
0300 UTC TUE SEP 21 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 31.9W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 31.9W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 31.9W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.5N 31.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 35NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 18.0N 31.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 25SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 18.4N 31.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 18.9N 32.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 35SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 20.1N 34.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 65NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 22.0N 35.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 23.5N 35.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 31.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI