Hurricane Julia

Forecast Advisory 10



000
WTNT22 KNHC 142036
TCMAT2
HURRICANE JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010
2100 UTC TUE SEP 14 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 30.2W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 35NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 30.2W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 29.9W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.8N 31.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 30NW.
50 KT... 45NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 19.5N 33.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 25SW 40NW.
34 KT...125NE 95SE 75SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 21.3N 35.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 25NW.
50 KT... 55NE 45SE 35SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 22.8N 39.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 45SE 40SW 55NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 25.0N 46.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 55NE 45SE 40SW 55NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 80SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 29.1N 50.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 33.0N 51.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 30.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN




000
WTNT23 KNHC 142048
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132010
2100 UTC TUE SEP 14 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL AT THE MEXICO/
BELIZE BORDER NORTHWARD TO CABO CATOCHE.

THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
COAST OF NORTHERN BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY TO THE MEXICO/BELIZE
BORDER.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL AT THE
MEXICO/BELIZE BORDER NORTHWARD TO CABO CATOCHE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF NORTHERN BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY TO THE MEXICO/BELIZE
BORDER

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 84.2W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 84.2W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 83.6W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 18.9N 86.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 19.6N 88.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 20.4N 90.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 21.0N 92.6W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 21.5N 96.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 21.5N 99.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 84.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




000
WTNT21 KNHC 142056
TCMAT1
HURRICANE IGOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
2100 UTC TUE SEP 14 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 53.1W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 933 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 155 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 150SE 130SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 360SE 300SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 53.1W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 52.7W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 19.5N 54.3W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 40SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 20.5N 55.6W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 45NW.
50 KT... 90NE 75SE 65SW 90NW.
34 KT...195NE 160SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 21.5N 57.2W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 45NW.
50 KT... 90NE 75SE 65SW 90NW.
34 KT...195NE 160SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 22.6N 58.8W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 175SE 140SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 25.4N 62.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...120NE 90SE 75SW 100NW.
34 KT...240NE 180SE 140SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 28.6N 64.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 33.0N 65.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 53.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART