Hurricane Julia
Forecast Advisory 11
000
WTNT22 KNHC 150236
TCMAT2
HURRICANE JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010
0300 UTC WED SEP 15 2010
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 30.9W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 974 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 35NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 30.9W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 30.5W
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 17.8N 32.1W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 45NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 75SW 105NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 19.4N 34.2W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...135NE 90SE 75SW 105NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 21.0N 37.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE 75SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 22.4N 40.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...135NE 90SE 75SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 25.0N 47.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE 90SW 120NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 29.0N 51.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 33.0N 51.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 30.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
000
WTNT23 KNHC 150243
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132010
0300 UTC WED SEP 15 2010
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL AT THE
MEXICO/BELIZE BORDER NORTHWARD TO CABO CATOCHE
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF NORTHERN BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY TO THE MEXICO/BELIZE
BORDER
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 85.5W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 25NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 25NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 85.5W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 84.9W
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 19.2N 87.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 20.0N 89.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 20.7N 91.6W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 21.1N 93.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 21.5N 96.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 40SE 25SW 45NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 60SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 21.5N 100.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N 85.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
000
WTNT21 KNHC 150245
TCMAT1
HURRICANE IGOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
0300 UTC WED SEP 15 2010
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IGOR.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 53.9W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 925 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT.......195NE 150SE 130SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 390SE 330SW 390NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 53.9W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 53.5W
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 19.8N 55.0W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 40SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...210NE 150SE 135SW 165NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 20.7N 56.4W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT...210NE 165SE 135SW 165NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 21.7N 58.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 45SE 40SW 45NW.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...210NE 165SE 135SW 180NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 22.8N 59.6W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...225NE 180SE 150SW 195NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 25.5N 63.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...110NE 90SE 70SW 100NW.
34 KT...225NE 195SE 165SW 195NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 29.0N 65.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 33.5N 65.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 53.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
