Hurricane Julia
Forecast Advisory 13
000
WTNT23 KNHC 150835
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132010
0900 UTC WED SEP 15 2010
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL AT THE
MEXICO/BELIZE BORDER NORTHWARD TO CABO CATOCHE
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF NORTHERN BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY TO THE MEXICO/BELIZE
BORDER
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 86.7W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 86.7W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 86.2W
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 19.1N 88.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 35NE 30SE 30SW 35NW.
34 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 20.0N 90.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.7N 92.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 35NE 30SE 30SW 35NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 21.3N 94.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 21.4N 97.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 60SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 21.0N 100.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 86.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
000
WTNT21 KNHC 150837
TCMAT1
HURRICANE IGOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
0900 UTC WED SEP 15 2010
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 54.5W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 935 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 155 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT.......195NE 150SE 130SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 390SE 330SW 390NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 54.5W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 54.1W
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 20.2N 55.6W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 40SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...210NE 150SE 135SW 165NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 21.1N 57.0W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT...210NE 165SE 135SW 165NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 21.9N 58.4W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 45SE 40SW 45NW.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...210NE 165SE 135SW 180NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 22.9N 60.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...225NE 180SE 150SW 195NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 25.8N 63.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT...110NE 90SE 70SW 100NW.
34 KT...225NE 195SE 165SW 195NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 29.5N 65.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 34.0N 64.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N 54.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
000
WTNT22 KNHC 150848
TCMAT2
HURRICANE JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010
0900 UTC WED SEP 15 2010
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 31.8W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 45NE 30SE 25SW 40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 80SE 70SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 120SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 31.8W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 31.4W
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.6N 33.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 45SE 35SW 55NW.
34 KT...120NE 95SE 75SW 105NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 20.4N 35.9W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 55SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...135NE 110SE 90SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 22.2N 39.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 55SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...135NE 110SE 90SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 23.4N 42.6W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 55SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...135NE 110SE 90SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 26.3N 48.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...135NE 110SE 90SW 120NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 30.0N 50.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 34.0N 49.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 31.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
