Hurricane Julia
Forecast Advisory 18
000
WTNT21 KNHC 161441
TCMAT1
HURRICANE IGOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
1500 UTC THU SEP 16 2010
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IGOR.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 57.2W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 934 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 55NW.
50 KT.......130NE 90SE 80SW 110NW.
34 KT.......240NE 210SE 180SW 210NW.
12 FT SEAS..540NE 330SE 300SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 57.2W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 56.9W
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 21.5N 58.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 55NW.
50 KT...120NE 90SE 80SW 110NW.
34 KT...240NE 210SE 180SW 210NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 22.4N 60.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 55NW.
50 KT...130NE 90SE 80SW 110NW.
34 KT...250NE 210SE 180SW 210NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 23.8N 61.7W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 55NW.
50 KT...130NE 90SE 80SW 110NW.
34 KT...250NE 210SE 180SW 210NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 25.3N 63.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT...125NE 100SE 80SW 110NW.
34 KT...250NE 220SE 190SW 210NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 29.0N 65.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 110NW.
34 KT...270NE 240SE 200SW 225NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 33.5N 63.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 39.0N 56.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N 57.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
000
WTNT22 KNHC 161451
TCMAT2
HURRICANE JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010
1500 UTC THU SEP 16 2010
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 38.6W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 22 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE 270SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 38.6W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 37.6W
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 23.7N 41.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 25.5N 44.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 25SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 27.3N 47.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 35SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 29.3N 49.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 33.2N 49.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 35.8N 46.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 38.0N 42.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.4N 38.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
000
WTNT23 KNHC 161453
TCMAT3
HURRICANE KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132010
1500 UTC THU SEP 16 2010
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE GULF
COAST OF MEXICO FROM PALMA SOLA TO CABO ROJO.
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
GULF COAST OF MEXICO NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA CRUZ...AND FOR THE
GULF COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF PALMA SOLA TO VERACRUZ.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PALMA SOLA TO CABO ROJO
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA CRUZ
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA CRUZ
* THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF PALMA SOLA TO VERACRUZ
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE
THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS
...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 92.8W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 45NE 50SE 60SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 30SE 45SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 92.8W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 92.2W
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 20.0N 93.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.3N 95.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 80SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 20.5N 97.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 40NW.
50 KT... 75NE 60SE 40SW 75NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 20.5N 98.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 20.0N 101.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 92.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN