Hurricane Julia
Forecast Advisory 23
000
WTNT23 KNHC 172031
TCMAT3
HURRICANE KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132010
2100 UTC FRI SEP 17 2010
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL COASTAL WATCHES AND
WARNINGS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 96.6W AT 17/2100Z...INLAND
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 96.6W AT 17/2100Z...INLAND
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 96.4W...INLAND
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 18.8N 97.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 35SE 35SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 18.7N 99.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 18.7N 100.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 96.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
000
WTNT21 KNHC 172041
TCMAT1
HURRICANE IGOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
2100 UTC FRI SEP 17 2010
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR
BERMUDA AT 2 PM AST...1800 UTC.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36
HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-
FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT
OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 61.1W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 947 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.
50 KT.......155NE 110SE 130SW 120NW.
34 KT.......300NE 210SE 200SW 240NW.
12 FT SEAS..660NE 540SE 420SW 690NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 61.1W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 60.7W
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 24.8N 62.4W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
50 KT...155NE 120SE 130SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 210SE 200SW 240NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 26.2N 64.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
50 KT...155NE 120SE 130SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 210SE 200SW 240NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 27.9N 64.9W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
50 KT...155NE 120SE 130SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 210SE 200SW 240NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 30.0N 65.1W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...155NE 120SE 130SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 210SE 200SW 240NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 35.5N 62.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...130NE 130SE 115SW 115NW.
34 KT...310NE 300SE 265SW 250NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 43.5N 52.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 52.0N 44.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.7N 61.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
000
WTNT22 KNHC 172042
TCMAT2
HURRICANE JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010
2100 UTC FRI SEP 17 2010
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 48.2W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 0SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT.......100NE 80SE 50SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..390NE 300SE 270SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 48.2W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 47.4W
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 26.9N 50.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 29.6N 51.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 45NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 32.5N 52.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 45NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 34.8N 51.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 38.2N 47.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 43.0N 43.0W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.2N 48.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
