Hurricane Julia
Forecast Advisory 24
000
WTNT21 KNHC 180231
TCMAT1
HURRICANE IGOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
0300 UTC SAT SEP 18 2010
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-
FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT
OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 62.0W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 947 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.
50 KT.......155NE 110SE 130SW 120NW.
34 KT.......300NE 210SE 200SW 240NW.
12 FT SEAS..600NE 600SE 480SW 600NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 62.0W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 61.5W
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 25.6N 63.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
50 KT...155NE 120SE 130SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 210SE 200SW 240NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 27.1N 64.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
50 KT...155NE 120SE 130SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 210SE 200SW 240NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 29.1N 65.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
50 KT...155NE 120SE 130SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 210SE 200SW 240NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 31.7N 64.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...155NE 120SE 130SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 250SE 200SW 240NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 36.2N 61.2W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...130NE 130SE 115SW 115NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 265SW 250NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 45.0N 50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 52.5N 42.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N 62.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
000
WTNT23 KNHC 180231
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132010
0300 UTC SAT SEP 18 2010
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 97.4W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 97.4W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 97.1W
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 18.1N 98.2W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N 97.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
000
WTNT22 KNHC 180236
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010
0300 UTC SAT SEP 18 2010
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 49.2W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 80SE 50SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 270SE 240SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 49.2W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 48.6W
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 28.1N 50.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 31.0N 52.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 33.5N 52.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 35.5N 50.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 39.0N 46.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z...ABSORBED BY A LARGE EXTRATROPICAL LOW
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.0N 49.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA
