Hurricane Julia

Forecast Advisory 26

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 181445
TCMAT1
HURRICANE IGOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 42
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
1500 UTC SAT SEP 18 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 63.6W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 939 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
50 KT.......155NE 110SE 130SW 130NW.
34 KT.......300NE 210SE 200SW 240NW.
12 FT SEAS..600NE 540SE 480SW 600NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 63.6W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 63.2W

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 27.1N 64.6W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
50 KT...155NE 110SE 130SW 130NW.
34 KT...300NE 210SE 200SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 28.9N 65.3W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
50 KT...155NE 120SE 130SW 130NW.
34 KT...300NE 210SE 200SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 31.1N 65.2W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
50 KT...155NE 130SE 120SW 130NW.
34 KT...300NE 230SE 210SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 33.9N 64.2W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...155NE 140SE 120SW 130NW.
34 KT...300NE 250SE 210SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 40.5N 56.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT...140NE 130SE 120SW 110NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 270SW 250NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 47.5N 44.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 50.0N 36.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.0N 63.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





000
WTNT22 KNHC 181445
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010
1500 UTC SAT SEP 18 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 51.0W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......140NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 300SE 300SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 51.0W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 50.6W

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 31.1N 51.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 33.5N 51.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 35.5N 50.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 37.0N 48.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 40.5N 43.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.9N 51.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN