Hurricane Julia

Forecast Advisory 30

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 191451
TCMAT1
HURRICANE IGOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 46
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
1500 UTC SUN SEP 19 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.4N 65.4W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 949 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE 50SE 70SW 70NW.
50 KT.......150NE 130SE 120SW 150NW.
34 KT.......300NE 250SE 200SW 300NW.
12 FT SEAS..600NE 570SE 540SW 570NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.4N 65.4W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.7N 65.4W

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 32.3N 65.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 50SE 70SW 70NW.
50 KT...150NE 130SE 120SW 150NW.
34 KT...300NE 250SE 200SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 35.4N 63.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 50SE 70SW 70NW.
50 KT...150NE 130SE 120SW 150NW.
34 KT...300NE 250SE 200SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 39.3N 60.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
50 KT...150NE 140SE 140SW 150NW.
34 KT...330NE 280SE 250SW 330NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 43.5N 55.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
34 KT...350NE 300SE 275SW 350NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 50.5N 45.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...180NE 180SE 220SW 220NW.
34 KT...420NE 420SE 390SW 390NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 54.5N 40.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 59.0N 39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.4N 65.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





000
WTNT22 KNHC 191455
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010
1500 UTC SUN SEP 19 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.2N 50.3W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......125NE 150SE 50SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 300SE 300SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.2N 50.3W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.7N 51.6W

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 34.9N 48.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...105NE 120SE 45SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 35.6N 46.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 36.2N 44.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 37.5N 42.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.2N 50.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG