Hurricane Karl
Forecast Advisory 4
000
WTNT21 KNHC 151437
TCMAT1
HURRICANE IGOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
1500 UTC WED SEP 15 2010
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 55.0W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 942 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT.......195NE 150SE 130SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 330SE 330SW 390NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 55.0W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 54.6W
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 20.5N 56.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 40SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT... 95NE 75SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...210NE 155SE 135SW 170NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 21.3N 57.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT... 95NE 75SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...210NE 175SE 150SW 175NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 22.1N 59.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 45SE 40SW 45NW.
50 KT... 95NE 80SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...210NE 175SE 140SW 190NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 23.3N 60.8W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...230NE 190SE 150SW 200NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 26.0N 63.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT...105NE 90SE 70SW 100NW.
34 KT...230NE 190SE 160SW 200NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 30.0N 65.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 34.5N 63.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N 55.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
000
WTNT23 KNHC 151438
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132010
1500 UTC WED SEP 15 2010
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NORTH OF PUNTA ALLEN.
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
WEST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CIUDAD DEL CARMEN
NORTHWARD TO CELESTUN.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL AT THE
MEXICO/BELIZE BORDER NORTHWARD TO PUNTA ALLEN
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF NORTHERN BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY TO THE MEXICO/BELIZE
BORDER
* THE WEST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CIUDAD DEL CARMEN
NORTHWARD TO CELESTUN
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 88.2W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 88.2W AT 15/1500Z...INLAND
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 87.6W
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 19.1N 89.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 20.1N 91.7W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 20.9N 93.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 35NE 30SE 30SW 35NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 21.3N 95.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 21.5N 98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 21.0N 101.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N 88.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
