Hurricane Karl

Forecast Advisory 10

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000
WTNT22 KNHC 162039
TCMAT2
HURRICANE JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010
2100 UTC THU SEP 16 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 41.1W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 22 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 300SE 240SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 41.1W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 40.0W

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 24.2N 43.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE 75SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 26.0N 47.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE 75SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 27.9N 49.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE 75SW 105NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 30.1N 51.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE 75SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 34.0N 50.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 37.0N 47.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 41.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





000
WTNT21 KNHC 162039
TCMAT1
HURRICANE IGOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
2100 UTC THU SEP 16 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD CLOSELY FOLLOW THE PROGRESS OF IGOR.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 58.1W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 940 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE 70SE 40SW 70NW.
50 KT.......130NE 115SE 100SW 120NW.
34 KT.......250NE 210SE 180SW 225NW.
12 FT SEAS..600NE 420SE 420SW 600NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 58.1W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 57.8W

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 22.4N 59.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.
50 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.
34 KT...250NE 210SE 180SW 225NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 23.5N 61.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 50SE 40SW 55NW.
50 KT...130NE 90SE 80SW 110NW.
34 KT...250NE 210SE 180SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 24.9N 62.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 50SE 40SW 55NW.
50 KT...130NE 90SE 80SW 110NW.
34 KT...250NE 210SE 180SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 26.5N 64.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT...130NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.
34 KT...250NE 220SE 190SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 30.5N 65.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 110NW.
34 KT...270NE 240SE 200SW 225NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 35.5N 62.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 42.0N 53.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N 58.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN





000
WTNT23 KNHC 162043
TCMAT3
HURRICANE KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132010
2100 UTC THU SEP 16 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FROM PALMA
SOLA SOUTHWARD TO VERACRUZ.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH
OF VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM VERACRUZ TO CABO ROJO

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA CRUZ

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA CRUZ
* THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE
THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS
...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 93.7W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 977 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 55NE 30SE 45SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 93.7W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 93.3W

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 19.7N 94.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 19.7N 96.2W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 19.6N 97.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 19.5N 99.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 19.0N 102.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 93.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN