Hurricane Lisa
Forecast Advisory 4
000
WTNT21 KNHC 212031
TCMAT1
HURRICANE IGOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 55
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
2100 UTC TUE SEP 21 2010
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND FROM STONES COVE NORTHWARD AND EASTWARD
TO FOGO ISLAND
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND FROM BURGEO NORTHWARD AND EASTWARD
TO TRITON
* THE ISLANDS OF ST-PIERRE AND MIQUELON
THESE WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED THIS EVENING
OR TONIGHT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 49.3N 51.7W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 34 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
50 KT.......220NE 240SE 160SW 180NW.
34 KT.......450NE 400SE 350SW 400NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 900SE 995SW 380NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 49.3N 51.7W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 48.0N 52.2W
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 53.0N 49.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT...150NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
50 KT...300NE 250SE 300SW 360NW.
34 KT...500NE 660SE 570SW 600NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 57.2N 51.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT...180NE 0SE 0SW 210NW.
50 KT...240NE 180SE 240SW 300NW.
34 KT...450NE 700SE 320SW 400NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 61.6N 57.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...200NE 240SE 210SW 180NW.
34 KT...300NE 950SE 360SW 270NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 62.5N 60.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...270NE 360SE 360SW 220NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 62.0N 60.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 180SE 250SW 0NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 61.5N 59.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 49.3N 51.7W
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON IGOR. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND
IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...
UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
$$
FORECASTER BERG
000
WTNT24 KNHC 212033
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142010
2100 UTC TUE SEP 21 2010
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 31.6W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 31.6W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 31.6W
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 18.6N 31.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 19.0N 31.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 19.3N 32.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 19.7N 33.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 20.4N 34.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 21.0N 36.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 21.0N 38.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 31.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
